Africa's biggest economies have been hammered by the collapse in
commodity prices over the past 18 months but there are still investment
bright spots to be found. In cities such as Lagos, Nairobi,
Accra, Kinshasa and Johannesburg, growth remains robust and investors
are prospering in the retail, financial services, technology and
construction sectors.
This means investors can now re-adjust their
strategy for Africa. Instead of taking a view on the continent as a
whole, or choosing one country over another, they can seize
opportunities city by city. Sub-Saharan Africa is urbanizing faster than
anywhere else in the world and city dwellers have more money to spend.
"In the current economic environment, investors want areas where success
is proven, growth is strong and will remain strong. Big African cities
give you that," said Jacob Kholi, a partner at Abraaj, a private equity
firm with $9 billion under management. "It has become even more
important to focus on these key cities than before," Kholi added.
Nairobi is the most attractive destination for foreign investment,
according to a 2015 report by PricewaterhouseCoopers, followed by Accra,
with Lagos and Johannesburg equal third. Consumption per capita in
Accra is 1.6 times greater than the average in Ghana, 2.3 times bigger
in Lagos than the average in Nigeria, and 2.7 times larger in Nairobi
than nationally in Kenya, Abraaj estimates. Lagos, one of the world's
fastest growing cities and with a population of 20 million, expects
economic growth of 7 percent this year, twice the pace of the country as
a whole.
Even South Africa, which is grappling with youth
unemployment of over 40 percent and could slip into recession this year,
has areas where industry is booming. "Looking around here, you wouldn't
know things were so bad," construction worker Sifiso Zwane told Reuters
in Johannesburg's wealthy Sandton business district. "Rich people will
always find a way to make more money," said Zwane, with cranes filling
the skyline behind him and billboards advertising new retailers like
Krispy Kreme doughnuts and Hennes & Mauritz.
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