Kenya and Nigeria may be more than 2,000 miles
apart but as Nigeria’s Muhammadu Buhari concludes a three-day working
visit to Kenya today (Jan. 29), he will likely have realized the two
countries could not be any closer with their shared challenges.
While the official purpose of Buhari’s visit was
bilateral trade talks with president Uhuru Kenyatta, inevitably the
presidents of two of the continent’s leading economies will have also
touched on corruption and deadly insurgencies as they seek answers to
the same difficult problems.
Both men are at different ends of their
presidency. While Buhari is only just settling into office having won
the March general elections last year, Kenyatta is rallying support as
he seeks re-election next year amid rising ethnic and economic tension
(paywall). Regardless, they are both entangled in anti-corruption
fights. While Buhari has at times been criticized for an over-zealous
approach to grinding out the malaise, particularly from the previous
government, Kenyatta has been accused of not doing enough. Buhari’s eight-month reign has already seen the arrest of major political heavyweights like a former petroleum minister and a former national security adviser.
Buhari has also changed the leadership of the
local corruption agency and has taken steps to prevent further diversion
of government money by instituting a Treasury Single Account for better
monitoring.
Perhaps
Kenyatta can take a leaf from Buhari’s books. Despite a public ‘zero
tolerance’ stand, the Kenyan leader is seen as not having done enough to
stop corruption in Kenya. A cabinet reshuffle in November failed to convince as key positions remain unchanged. Much of Kenya’s corruption is rooted in procurement malpractice and, in July, this was put in chilling perspective as Kenya’s auditor general announced that only 1% of the country’s $10 billion expenditure for the 2013/2014 financial year could be accounted for.
Most recently the country has been caught up in a
$1 billion eurobond scandal about the apparent disappearance of the
funds raised from a successful offering. Now Kenyans are petitioning the US attorney general to help recover proceeds.
Ultimately the amounts of funds missing in Kenya
pale in significance compared with Nigeria’s much larger oil
export-driven economy, but the challenge of mismanagement of funds and
unethical leadership is a very familiar challenge to both countries.
A tale of two insurgencies
The two countries have been locked in deadly
insurgencies since the start of the decade. Nigeria’s homegrown threat,
Boko Haram, devolved into a brutal militant sect since 2009. The
terrorists, who declared allegiance with ISIL, have since killed more
than 10,000 people and at one point took over large swathes of territory
in Nigeria’s north-east.
Boko
Haram’s reign of terror also led to the displacement of more than a
million people. President Buhari promised to wipe out the insurgency
within six months in office but a December ‘deadline’ was passed with the sect still operational. However, Buhari has made critical changes. He fired military chiefs
who were allegedly corrupt and has also sought to clean up the arms
procurement process in a bid to cater better for a military which John
Kerry, US Secretary of State, recently described as previously being underfunded and underfed.
Kenya share a similar problem. Since 2011, Somali
terrorist sect al-Shabaab, who are aligned with al-Qaeda, have carried
out attacks in Kenya in response to the Kenyan forces entering Somalia
as part of an African union military mission.
Even though the total death toll is significantly lower than in Nigeria, brazen attacks on the Westgate mall in 2013 and Garissa University last year have been stark reminders of al-Shabaab’s brutality. Kenya’s security forces have been heavily criticized for failures to stop and promptly respond to these attacks. The attacks has stifled the country’s tourism sector but Kenyan forces are beginning to make strategic gains but suffered devastating attack at a base in Somalia this month with more than 100 Kenyan soldiers killed.
Like Buhari, Kenyatta has insisted that Kenya will press ahead with its
determination to destroy the terrorist network and that Kenyan forces will not pull out of Somalia.
Regardless of steps taken by both presidents,
their countries remain vulnerable to soft target attacks by terrorists
and continue to seek ways to improve intelligence capacity to stamp out
the threats more permanently.
Room to learn
Even as both countries deal with corruption and
insecurity issues, opportunities for economic cooperation remain. Kenya
is looking to Nigeria for expertise in oil and gas exploration. To this
end, both countries signed tools of agreement recently and talks are
expected to cover the subject. Nigeria, on the hand, will also be
looking to East Africa’s largest economy as a model as it seeks to pivot
away from being an oil-dependent economy. Kenya’s main successes in
generating revenue despite not being as commodity rich as Nigeria, have
come from high tax generation rates and tourism.
“As Nigeria tries to reset its growth model, and
move to a system that is less dependent on oil, more about growth being
driven by the private sector, and less about growth being driven by the
government, it has much to gain from increased engagement with Kenya.”
Razia Khan, chief economist at Standard Chartered Bank told Quartz.
Kenyan-born Khan, who is a long-time watcher of
Nigeria, thinks the West African country can learn a lot. “While Nigeria
has amongst the lowest non-oil revenue mobilisation ratios in Africa,
Kenya has traditionally always been higher than the Sub–Saharan Africa
average.”
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